Upozorenje Geoffrey Hintona: AI i masovna nezaposlenost
Jedan od pionira umjetne inteligencije, Geoffrey Hinton, iznio je mračne prognoze o posljedicama AI. Hinton vjeruje da će umjetna inteligencija i AI ubrzati zamjenu radnika i produbiti ekonomsku nejednakost. "What’s actually going to happen is rich people are going to use AI to replace workers," rekao je Hinton. "It’s going to create massive unemployment and a huge rise in profits. It will make a few people much richer and most people poorer."
On napominje da to nije krivica tehnologije nego društvenog uređenja: "That’s not AI’s fault," "That is the capitalist system." Hinton je podsjetio da mnoge tehnološke firme razmatraju mjere poput univerzalnog osnovnog dohotka, ali upozorava da to "won’t deal with human dignity" i gubitak svrhe koji rad pruža.
Što se tiče dužeg horizonta, Hinton predviđa brzi napredak: "A lot of scientists agree between five and 20 years," "That’s the best bet." On smatra da je superinteligencija neizbježna i poziva na ozbiljnu pripremu, odbacujući neopravdani optimizam: "I’m tempted to say, 'Why should [younger people] stay positive?'"
Hinton upozorava da ignorisanje problema neće pomoći: "Suppose there was an alien invasion you could see with a telescope that would arrive in 10 years, would you be saying 'How do we stay positive?' No, you’d be saying, 'How on earth are we going to deal with this?'" "If staying positive means pretending it's not going to happen, then people shouldn't stay positive." Na kraju, Hinton, koji je napustio Google Brain 2023. godine, dodao je i ličnu opasku: "I am 77," i "the end is coming for me soon anyway."
